临床荟萃 ›› 2023, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (8): 694-701.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-583X.2023.08.003
收稿日期:
2023-06-19
出版日期:
2023-08-20
发布日期:
2023-09-27
通讯作者:
匡时权
E-mail:15125265568@163.com
基金资助:
Received:
2023-06-19
Online:
2023-08-20
Published:
2023-09-27
Contact:
KuangShiquan
E-mail:15125265568@163.com
摘要:
目的 探讨甲状旁腺激素(PTH)与颈动脉内膜中层厚度(IMT)对冠状动脉钙化(CAC)程度的预测价值。方法 回顾性分析2018年12月至2020年3月于大理大学第一附属医院住院的164例疑似冠心病患者的临床资料,根据冠状动脉钙化积分(CACS)分为两组,将CACS等于0分的患者纳入非钙化组(n=63),钙化积分大于0分的患者纳入钙化组(n=101)。分析与CAC有关联的因素及比较不同组间的各指标水平,比较不同组别间PTH及IMT的水平。采用单因素Logistic回归分析分析是否存在CAC的独立危险或保护因素。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析PTH、IMT、PTH联合IMT对CAC的预测效能。根据最佳约登指数选取截断值,并分别计算出各截断值所对应的敏感性、特异性等,再根据曲线下面积(AUC)评估诊断效能。结果 组间年龄、血糖、PTH、IMT差异具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。与非钙化组相比,钙化组的上述指标水平更高(P<0.05)。重度钙化组的PTH水平高于中度钙化组、轻度钙化组及少量钙化组,中度钙化组的PTH水平高于轻度及少量钙化组,差异有显著的统计学意义(P<0.01),但在不同钙化程度组之间,IMT并无明显的统计学意义。以PTH、IMT水平为检验变量、冠状动脉动脉钙化为状态变量绘制ROC曲线,得出PTH+IMT作为预测因素效果最佳,其次为PTH,最后为IMT。对ROC曲线分析后得出当PTH大于77 pg/ml时,CAC可能性较大;当IMT大于0.98 mm时,CAC可能性也较大。进行三者ROC曲线下面积分析后,提示三者均可预测CAC。三者两两对比分析预测价值后提示PTH联合IMT的预测价值优于单个指标预测。绘制PTH、IMT及PTH联合IMT的ROC曲线,若AUC>0.7时,认定具有一定预测效能。若AUC>0.9时,认定具有较佳的预测效能。结论 PTH对CAC的预测作用明显高于IMT的预测作用;PTH联合IMT的预测作用高于PTH单独的预测作用,PTH联合IMT的预测作用明显高于IMT单独的预测作用。PTH联合IMT的预测价值分别优于单个指标价值。可供临床参考。
中图分类号:
马国菲, 匡时权. 甲状旁腺激素联合颈动脉内膜中层厚度对冠状动脉钙化的预测作用[J]. 临床荟萃, 2023, 38(8): 694-701.
Ma Guofei, KuangShiquan . Predictive effect of parathyroid hormone combined with carotid intima-media thickness on coronary artery calcification[J]. Clinical Focus, 2023, 38(8): 694-701.
临床资料 | 非钙化组 (n=63) | 钙化组 (n=101) | χ2/t值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|
性别 | ||||
男 女 | 38(60.3) 25(39.7) | 70(69.3) 31(30.7) | 1.394 | 0.238 |
高血压史 | ||||
有 无 | 37(58.7) 26(41.3) | 46(45.5) 55(54.5) | 2.699 | 0.100 |
吸烟史 | ||||
有 无 | 30(47.6) 33(52.4) | 50(49.5) 51(50.5) | 0.128 | 0.720 |
饮酒史 | ||||
有 无 | 40(63.5) 23(36.5) | 63(62.4) 38(37.6) | 0.021 | 0.886 |
年龄(岁) | 55.92±12.33 | 65.09±9.57 | -5.330 | <0.01 |
ALP( U/L) | 81.83±23.06 | 86.57±28.12 | -1.125 | 0.262 |
肌酐(μmol/L) | 72.79±17.12 | 79.26±26.20 | -1.739 | 0.084 |
钙(mmol/L) | 2.27±0.42 | 2.24±0.14 | 0.757 | 0.450 |
磷(mmol/L) | 1.07±0.19 | 1.07±0.18 | -0.109 | 0.913 |
血糖(mmol/L) | 5.06±1.17 | 5.83±2.47 | -2.320 | 0.022 |
果糖胺(mmol/L) | 1.61±0.40 | 1.57±0.22 | 0.911 | 0.363 |
TG(mmol/L) | 2.23±2.68 | 1.84±0.95 | 1.344 | 0.181 |
TC(mmol/L) | 4.34±0.99 | 4.44±0.97 | -0.604 | 0.547 |
HDL-C(mmol/L) | 1.16±0.26 | 1.12±0.29 | 1.028 | 0.306 |
LDL-C(mmol/L) | 2.51±0.82 | 2.64±0.80 | -0.987 | 0.325 |
载脂蛋A1( g/L) | 1.08±0.20 | 1.08±0.22 | -0.057 | 0.955 |
载脂蛋白B(g/L) | 0.81±0.32 | 0.83±0.20 | -0.042 | 0.659 |
PTH(pg/ml) | 71.33±13.73 | 102.97±14.97 | -13.581 | 0.000 |
IMT(mm) | 1.018±0.071 | 1.040±0.063 | -1.267 | 0.036 |
表1 两组临床资料比较
Tab.1 Comparison of clinical data between groups
临床资料 | 非钙化组 (n=63) | 钙化组 (n=101) | χ2/t值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|
性别 | ||||
男 女 | 38(60.3) 25(39.7) | 70(69.3) 31(30.7) | 1.394 | 0.238 |
高血压史 | ||||
有 无 | 37(58.7) 26(41.3) | 46(45.5) 55(54.5) | 2.699 | 0.100 |
吸烟史 | ||||
有 无 | 30(47.6) 33(52.4) | 50(49.5) 51(50.5) | 0.128 | 0.720 |
饮酒史 | ||||
有 无 | 40(63.5) 23(36.5) | 63(62.4) 38(37.6) | 0.021 | 0.886 |
年龄(岁) | 55.92±12.33 | 65.09±9.57 | -5.330 | <0.01 |
ALP( U/L) | 81.83±23.06 | 86.57±28.12 | -1.125 | 0.262 |
肌酐(μmol/L) | 72.79±17.12 | 79.26±26.20 | -1.739 | 0.084 |
钙(mmol/L) | 2.27±0.42 | 2.24±0.14 | 0.757 | 0.450 |
磷(mmol/L) | 1.07±0.19 | 1.07±0.18 | -0.109 | 0.913 |
血糖(mmol/L) | 5.06±1.17 | 5.83±2.47 | -2.320 | 0.022 |
果糖胺(mmol/L) | 1.61±0.40 | 1.57±0.22 | 0.911 | 0.363 |
TG(mmol/L) | 2.23±2.68 | 1.84±0.95 | 1.344 | 0.181 |
TC(mmol/L) | 4.34±0.99 | 4.44±0.97 | -0.604 | 0.547 |
HDL-C(mmol/L) | 1.16±0.26 | 1.12±0.29 | 1.028 | 0.306 |
LDL-C(mmol/L) | 2.51±0.82 | 2.64±0.80 | -0.987 | 0.325 |
载脂蛋A1( g/L) | 1.08±0.20 | 1.08±0.22 | -0.057 | 0.955 |
载脂蛋白B(g/L) | 0.81±0.32 | 0.83±0.20 | -0.042 | 0.659 |
PTH(pg/ml) | 71.33±13.73 | 102.97±14.97 | -13.581 | 0.000 |
IMT(mm) | 1.018±0.071 | 1.040±0.063 | -1.267 | 0.036 |
钙化程度分组 | CACS积分 |
---|---|
少量钙化组 | ≤10 |
轻度钙化组 | 10~99.9 |
中度钙化组 | 100~399.9 |
重度钙化组 | ≥400 |
表2 CACS法对钙化程度的分组标准
Tab. 2 Classification criteria for calcification degree using CACS method
钙化程度分组 | CACS积分 |
---|---|
少量钙化组 | ≤10 |
轻度钙化组 | 10~99.9 |
中度钙化组 | 100~399.9 |
重度钙化组 | ≥400 |
组别 | 例数 | PTH(pg/ml) | IMT(mm) |
---|---|---|---|
少量钙化组 | 14 | 84.43±8.82 | 1.021±0.058 |
轻度钙化组 | 34 | 99.82±10.07* | 1.017±0.072 |
中度钙化组 | 33 | 103.76±10.06*# | 1.024±0.075 |
重度钙化组 | 20 | 120.00±14.24*#△ | 1.048±0.055 |
F值 | 30.978 | 0.861 | |
P值 | 0.000 | 0.464 |
表3 4组不同程度钙化组间PTH、IMT水平比较
Tab. 3 Comparison of PTH and IMT levels among four groups with different degrees of calcification
组别 | 例数 | PTH(pg/ml) | IMT(mm) |
---|---|---|---|
少量钙化组 | 14 | 84.43±8.82 | 1.021±0.058 |
轻度钙化组 | 34 | 99.82±10.07* | 1.017±0.072 |
中度钙化组 | 33 | 103.76±10.06*# | 1.024±0.075 |
重度钙化组 | 20 | 120.00±14.24*#△ | 1.048±0.055 |
F值 | 30.978 | 0.861 | |
P值 | 0.000 | 0.464 |
因素 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | OR值 | P值 | 95%CI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
下限 | 上限 | ||||||
HDL-C | -0.209 | 0.111 | 4.911 | <0.000 | 0.027 | 0.000~0.248 | |
PTH | 0.014 | 0.001 | 12.630 | 1.531 | <0.01 | 1.210~1.936 | |
IMT | 1.016 | 0.027 | 6.833 | 32.841 | 0.009 | 21.754~48.990 | |
TG | -0.049 | 0.022 | 3.978 | 0.064 | 0.004 | 0.004~0.954 |
表4 单因素Logistic回归分析
Tab. 4 Single factor logistic regression analysis
因素 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | OR值 | P值 | 95%CI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
下限 | 上限 | ||||||
HDL-C | -0.209 | 0.111 | 4.911 | <0.000 | 0.027 | 0.000~0.248 | |
PTH | 0.014 | 0.001 | 12.630 | 1.531 | <0.01 | 1.210~1.936 | |
IMT | 1.016 | 0.027 | 6.833 | 32.841 | 0.009 | 21.754~48.990 | |
TG | -0.049 | 0.022 | 3.978 | 0.064 | 0.004 | 0.004~0.954 |
因素 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | OR值 | P值 | 95%CI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PTH | 0.016 | 0.001 | 42.068 | 1.193 | <0.01 | 1.131~1.259 |
IMT | 1.035 | 0.027 | 10.679 | 5.655 | 0.001 | 2.001~15.984 |
表5 多因素Logistic回归分析(向前引入法筛选变量)
Tab.5 Multivariate logistic regression analysis(forward introduction method for screening variables)
因素 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | OR值 | P值 | 95%CI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PTH | 0.016 | 0.001 | 42.068 | 1.193 | <0.01 | 1.131~1.259 |
IMT | 1.035 | 0.027 | 10.679 | 5.655 | 0.001 | 2.001~15.984 |
截断值 | 最佳约登 指数 | 敏感性 (%) | 特异性 (%) | 阳性预 测值(%) | 阴性预 测值(%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PTH=77.0 | 0.670 | 97.0 | 70.0 | 83.83 | 93.57 |
IMT=0.98 | 0.329 | 95.0 | 37.9 | 71.03 | 82.54 |
IMT+PTH=0.763 | 0.613 | 92.1 | 84.2 | 90.34 | 86.92 |
表6 PTH、IMT及PTH+IMT的ROC曲线分析
Tab. 6 ROC curve analysis of PTH, IMT and PTH+IMT
截断值 | 最佳约登 指数 | 敏感性 (%) | 特异性 (%) | 阳性预 测值(%) | 阴性预 测值(%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
PTH=77.0 | 0.670 | 97.0 | 70.0 | 83.83 | 93.57 |
IMT=0.98 | 0.329 | 95.0 | 37.9 | 71.03 | 82.54 |
IMT+PTH=0.763 | 0.613 | 92.1 | 84.2 | 90.34 | 86.92 |
变量 | AUC | P值 | 95%CI | PTH | IMT | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z值 | P值 | Z值 | P值 | |||||
PTH | 0.954 | <0.01 | 0.926~0.981 | / | / | 5.535 | <0.01 | |
IMT | 0.711 | <0.01 | 0.627~0.796 | 5.535 | <0.01 | / | / | |
PTH+IMT | 0.970 | <0.01 | 0.948~0.992 | 1.905 | 0.0429 | 6.220 | <0.01 |
表7 PTH、IMT及PTH+IMT的ROC曲线下面积对CAC预测比较
Tab. 7 Comparison of area under ROC curve of PTH, IMT and PTH+IMT in predicting CAC
变量 | AUC | P值 | 95%CI | PTH | IMT | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z值 | P值 | Z值 | P值 | |||||
PTH | 0.954 | <0.01 | 0.926~0.981 | / | / | 5.535 | <0.01 | |
IMT | 0.711 | <0.01 | 0.627~0.796 | 5.535 | <0.01 | / | / | |
PTH+IMT | 0.970 | <0.01 | 0.948~0.992 | 1.905 | 0.0429 | 6.220 | <0.01 |
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